According to Chatham House, the US-Africa Business Forum (USABF), which met for the second time in New York on 21 September, provided a platform to deepen business and financial ties between the US and Africa, and is the culmination of efforts to diversify Washington’s focus away from humanitarian concerns and counterterrorism. Emphasizing the business opportunities that Africa offers could be Barack Obama’s key Africa legacy, equivalent to the African Growth and Opportunity Act (AGOA) for Bill Clinton and the President’s Emergency Program on AIDS Relief (PEPFAR) or the US Africa Command (AFRICOM) for George W Bush.
The USABF is co-hosted by US
Secretary of Commerce Penny Pritzker and Michael Bloomberg. President Obama,
President Jacob Zuma of South Africa and President Muhammadu Buhari of Nigeria
are attending, and almost 50 African heads of state or government have been
invited. Up to 100 US and African corporations will be participating, in
addition to numerous global CEOs, and new announcements of both private sector
investments and government initiatives will be made. The forum will focus on
seven sectors important to African economies; finance, capital investment,
infrastructure, power and energy, agriculture, consumer goods and information
communication technology.
It is no coincidence that President
Obama wanted a second USABF before he ends his presidency. The USABF was the
most successful part of the 2014 US−Africa Leaders’ Summit in Washington DC –
the largest gathering of African heads of state and government ever convened by
an American president. It resulted in announcements of billions of dollars of
investment in Africa, and US-Africa trade has subsequently grown significantly,
albeit from a low base. During the second Obama administration new initiatives
such as Power Africa, Trade Africa and the President’s Advisory Council on
Doing Business in Africa have been launched. The Power Africa initiative has
leveraged nearly $43 billion in commitments from over 120 public and private
sector partners and the Trade Africa partnership (with an initial focus on the
East African Community) and saw a 24 per cent increase in exports of
goods from the EAC to the US in 2013−14. There has also been the Global
Entrepreneurship Summit, which met in 2014 in Morocco and Kenya in 2015, and an
increase in trade missions. And not only does the Corporate Council on Africa
in Washington DC now promote African trade, but recently the US Chamber of
Commerce has finally begun taking Africa more seriously.
The USABF comes a year after AGOA
was renewed for another decade (to 2025), and is timed to follow the 2016
annual AGOA Forum in Washington DC. Although Africa remains a relatively small
player in world trade, representing just 3.3 per cent of global exports, its
share is growing. AGOA and defining the agreements that will succeed it are
likely to be an important agenda item both for the USABF and for future US
administrations, and will have implications across global trade negotiations.
Frameworks like the Transatlantic Trade and Investment Partnership (TTIP) being
negotiated between the EU and US will impact the US−Africa trade relationship,
as do the reciprocal economic partnership agreements (EPAs) that the EU has
struck with most African nations. As the EPAs give Europe advantages over the US,
Washington may seek to shape TTIP negotiations so as not to cede long-term
commercial advantage to European firms trading with Africa. This has
implications too for a post-Brexit United Kingdom, as London is also
considering its own trade relationships in Africa outside the EPAs.
The USABF is meeting at an opportune
moment for both African states and American businesses. Many African
leaders, confronted by slower growth rates, are once again reappraising their
international partnerships. Diversification is the preferred strategy for many,
and the US is clearly part of the calculation for most (although South Africa
is increasingly hostile to the US and seems to be pulling in the opposite
direction). At the same time, the longstanding pattern of US corporate
investment being limited to extractives – and some broader engagement in South
Africa − is changing. Major players in corporate America, such as Blackstone,
General Electric and Johnson and Johnson are developing long-term investment
strategies across the continent, complementing Exxon’s and Chevron’s many
decades of engagement. Other companies are testing the waters, assessing
whether investing in Africa is profitable and possible given tightening US and
European regulatory regimes.
When Obama was elected as the first
African-American US president, some thought that Africa would become a more
important focus of overall US foreign policy. It was never a realistic
prospect, given the range and importance of US global strategic interests. But
President Obama has been engaged in African issues, visiting Africa twice
during his second term of office − Senegal, South Africa and Tanzania in 2013
and Kenya and the African Union headquarters in Ethiopia in 2015. He may yet
visit Nigeria before his presidency ends, and will meet President Buhari in New
York. In addition to improving bilateral relations with Kenya and Nigeria,
President Obama’s mediation efforts have helped transitions in recent years in
Senegal, Côte d’Ivoire and Burkina Faso, although he clearly regrets how poorly
prepared his NATO allies, Britain and France, were in their Libyan
intervention, given the instability that followed.
And perhaps most importantly, Obama
recognized that in addition to good governance and aid, Africa can only
flourish if there is more trade and investment into the continent. Reorienting
US−Africa policy towards trade, and putting in place practical initiatives,
such as the USABF, to build relationships and encourage investment, will be the
key Africa legacy of the Obama administration.
https://www.chathamhouse.org/expert/comment/trade-not-aid-obama-s-africa-legacy

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